Nuptiality models and the two-sex problem in national population forecasts.

N Keilman
Author Information

Abstract

"This paper describes the two-sex problem in nuptiality models, focussing on applications in national population forecasts. Requirements for a realistic two-sex marriage model are mentioned, together with additional considerations important in the context of official forecasts. Recent nuptiality models violate the requirements to a certain extent and/or do not meet the additional considerations. A new model, used in the 1980-based population forecasts of the Netherlands compiled by the Netherlands' Central Bureau of Statistics, is described." (summary in FRE)

Keywords

References

  1. Stat News Pol. 1979;(44):17-24 [PMID: 12222176]
  2. Maandstat Bevolking. 1982 Sep;30(9):16-36 [PMID: 12279536]
  3. Theor Popul Biol. 1972 Jun;3(2):135-52 [PMID: 4667080]
  4. Demography. 1981 May;18(2):201-16 [PMID: 7227585]

MeSH Term

Demography
Developed Countries
Europe
Forecasting
Marriage
Models, Theoretical
Netherlands
Population
Population Characteristics
Population Growth
Research
Sex Factors
Statistics as Topic

Word Cloud

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