Projecting coral reef futures under global warming and ocean acidification.

John M Pandolfi, Sean R Connolly, Dustin J Marshall, Anne L Cohen
Author Information
  1. John M Pandolfi: Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, St. Lucia, Queensland 4072, Australia. j.pandolfi@uq.edu.au

Abstract

Many physiological responses in present-day coral reefs to climate change are interpreted as consistent with the imminent disappearance of modern reefs globally because of annual mass bleaching events, carbonate dissolution, and insufficient time for substantial evolutionary responses. Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest. Reducing uncertainty in projecting coral reef futures requires improved understanding of past responses to rapid climate change; physiological responses to interacting factors, such as temperature, acidification, and nutrients; and the costs and constraints imposed by acclimation and adaptation.

MeSH Term

Animals
Anthozoa
Biodiversity
Biological Evolution
Calcification, Physiologic
Carbon Dioxide
Conservation of Natural Resources
Ecosystem
Forecasting
Global Warming
Hydrogen-Ion Concentration
Oceans and Seas
Seawater
Symbiosis

Chemicals

Carbon Dioxide

Word Cloud

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