Bayesian hierarchical model for multiple repeated measures and survival data: an application to Parkinson's disease.

Sheng Luo, Jue Wang
Author Information
  1. Sheng Luo: Division of Biostatistics, The University of Texas Health Science Center, Houston, 1200 Pressler St, Houston, TX 77030, U.S.A.

Abstract

Multilevel item response theory models have been increasingly used to analyze the multivariate longitudinal data of mixed types (e.g., continuous and categorical) in clinical studies. To address the possible correlation between multivariate longitudinal measures and time to terminal events (e.g., death and dropout), joint models that consist of a multilevel item response theory submodel and a survival submodel have been previously developed. However, in multisite studies, multiple patients are recruited and treated by the same clinical site. There can be a significant site correlation because of common environmental and socioeconomic status, and similar quality of care within site. In this article, we develop and study several hierarchical joint models with the hazard of terminal events dependent on shared random effects from various levels. We conduct extensive simulation study to evaluate the performance of various models under different scenarios. The proposed hierarchical joint models are applied to the motivating deprenyl and tocopherol antioxidative therapy of Parkinsonism study to investigate the effect of tocopherol in slowing Parkinson's disease progression.

Keywords

References

  1. Mov Disord. 2011 Apr;26(5):877-84 [PMID: 21370269]
  2. N Engl J Med. 2004 Dec 9;351(24):2498-508 [PMID: 15590952]
  3. Stat Med. 2011 Feb 10;30(3):250-9 [PMID: 21213342]
  4. Stat Med. 2002 Jan 15;21(1):129-42 [PMID: 11782055]
  5. Stat Interface. 2008;1(1):179-195 [PMID: 18978950]
  6. Biostatistics. 2000 Dec;1(4):465-80 [PMID: 12933568]
  7. Stat Methods Med Res. 2016 Apr;25(2):821-37 [PMID: 23242384]
  8. Stat Sin. 2010 Apr 1;20(2):853-869 [PMID: 20514365]
  9. Ann Neurol. 1998 Sep;44(3 Suppl 1):S160-6 [PMID: 9749589]
  10. Stat Med. 2013 Sep 30;32(22):3812-28 [PMID: 23494809]
  11. Stat Med. 1996 Aug 15;15(15):1663-85 [PMID: 8858789]
  12. Contemp Clin Trials. 2009 Mar;30(2):158-70 [PMID: 19146991]
  13. Stat Med. 2013 Mar 30;32(7):1136-49 [PMID: 23112128]
  14. Stat Med. 2008 Aug 15;27(18):3528-39 [PMID: 18219701]
  15. Stat Med. 1997 Jan 15-Feb 15;16(1-3):239-57 [PMID: 9004395]
  16. Stat Med. 2008 Nov 29;27(27):5679-91 [PMID: 18693300]
  17. J Clin Epidemiol. 2010 May;63(5):543-9 [PMID: 19880281]
  18. Mov Disord. 2012 Oct;27(12):1513-21 [PMID: 23079770]
  19. Dement Geriatr Cogn Disord. 2011;32(5):362-6 [PMID: 22311305]
  20. Stat Methods Med Res. 2016 Aug;25(4):1346-58 [PMID: 23592717]
  21. Lancet. 2004 May 29;363(9423):1783-93 [PMID: 15172778]
  22. Stat Med. 1997 Jan 15-Feb 15;16(1-3):259-72 [PMID: 9004396]
  23. Biometrics. 1997 Mar;53(1):330-9 [PMID: 9147598]
  24. Stat Med. 2013 Mar 15;32(6):1016-26 [PMID: 22903343]
  25. Stat Med. 2008 Dec 10;27(28):5890-906 [PMID: 18696748]
  26. Stat Med. 2014 Feb 20;33(4):580-94 [PMID: 24009073]
  27. Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord. 2012 Oct-Dec;26(4):344-51 [PMID: 22193355]
  28. Stat Med. 1999 Nov 15;18(21):2917-31 [PMID: 10523750]
  29. Stat Med. 2011 Aug 15;30(18):2265-77 [PMID: 21590791]

Grants

  1. KL2 TR000370/NCATS NIH HHS
  2. UL1 TR000371/NCATS NIH HHS

MeSH Term

Bayes Theorem
Clinical Trials as Topic
Computer Simulation
Humans
Longitudinal Studies
Models, Statistical
Multicenter Studies as Topic
Multivariate Analysis
Parkinson Disease
Selegiline
Survival Analysis
Tocopherols

Chemicals

Selegiline
Tocopherols

Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0modelstheoryclinicaljointsitestudyhierarchicalitemresponsemultivariatelongitudinalegstudiescorrelationmeasurestimeterminaleventssubmodelsurvivalmultiplerandomeffectsvarioustocopherolParkinson'sdiseaseMultilevelincreasinglyusedanalyzedatamixedtypescontinuouscategoricaladdresspossibledeathdropoutconsistmultilevelpreviouslydevelopedHowevermultisitepatientsrecruitedtreatedcansignificantcommonenvironmentalsocioeconomicstatussimilarqualitycarewithinarticledevelopseveralhazarddependentsharedlevelsconductextensivesimulationevaluateperformancedifferentscenariosproposedappliedmotivatingdeprenylantioxidativetherapyParkinsonisminvestigateeffectslowingprogressionBayesianmodelrepeateddata:applicationMCMCtrialfailureitem-responselatentvariablenested

Similar Articles

Cited By (10)