Empirical models for anatomical and physiological changes in a human mother and fetus during pregnancy and gestation.

Dustin F Kapraun, John F Wambaugh, R Woodrow Setzer, Richard S Judson
Author Information
  1. Dustin F Kapraun: National Center for Environmental Assessment, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America. ORCID
  2. John F Wambaugh: National Center for Computational Toxicology, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America. ORCID
  3. R Woodrow Setzer: National Center for Computational Toxicology, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America. ORCID
  4. Richard S Judson: National Center for Computational Toxicology, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina, United States of America. ORCID

Abstract

Many parameters treated as constants in traditional physiologically based pharmacokinetic models must be formulated as time-varying quantities when modeling pregnancy and gestation due to the dramatic physiological and anatomical changes that occur during this period. While several collections of empirical models for such parameters have been published, each has shortcomings. We sought to create a repository of empirical models for tissue volumes, blood flow rates, and other quantities that undergo substantial changes in a human mother and her fetus during the time between conception and birth, and to address deficiencies with similar, previously published repositories. We used maximum likelihood estimation to calibrate various models for the time-varying quantities of interest, and then used the Akaike information criterion to select an optimal model for each quantity. For quantities of interest for which time-course data were not available, we constructed composite models using percentages and/or models describing related quantities. In this way, we developed a comprehensive collection of formulae describing parameters essential for constructing a PBPK model of a human mother and her fetus throughout the approximately 40 weeks of pregnancy and gestation. We included models describing blood flow rates through various fetal blood routes that have no counterparts in adults. Our repository of mathematical models for anatomical and physiological quantities of interest provides a basis for PBPK models of human pregnancy and gestation, and as such, it can ultimately be used to support decision-making with respect to optimal pharmacological dosing and risk assessment for pregnant women and their developing fetuses. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views or policies of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

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MeSH Term

Blood Circulation
Female
Fetus
Hematocrit
Humans
Models, Anatomic
Models, Biological
Mothers
Pregnancy
Tissue Distribution

Word Cloud

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