Spatial clustering behaviour of Covid-19 conditioned by the development level: Case study for the administrative units in Romania.

Stefana Cioban, Codruta Mare
Author Information
  1. Stefana Cioban: Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Department of Statistics-Forecasts-Mathematics, 58-60, Teodor Mihali str., 400591, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
  2. Codruta Mare: Babes-Bolyai University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Department of Statistics-Forecasts-Mathematics, 58-60, Teodor Mihali str., 400591, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.

Abstract

Spatial analyses related to Covid-19 have been so far conducted at county, regional or national level, without a thorough assessment at the continuous local level of administrative-territorial units like cities, towns, or communes. To address this gap, we employ daily data on the infection rate provided for Romanian administrative units from March to May 2021. Using the global and local Moran I spatial autocorrelation coefficients, we identify significant clustering processes in the Covid-19 infection rate. Additional analysis based on spatially smoothed rate maps and spatial regressions prove that this clustering pattern is influenced by the development level of localities, proxied by unemployment rate and Local Human Development Index. Results show the features of the 3rd wave in Romania, characterized by a quadratic trend.

Keywords

References

  1. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Aug 1;728:138884 [PMID: 32335404]
  2. Sci Total Environ. 2021 Feb 1;754:142396 [PMID: 33254938]
  3. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Sep 29;117(39):24180-24187 [PMID: 32913057]
  4. Front Med (Lausanne). 2020 May 07;7:171 [PMID: 32574319]
  5. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2021 Jun 15;118(24): [PMID: 34049993]
  6. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Nov 20;744:140929 [PMID: 32687995]
  7. Sci Total Environ. 2020 Oct 15;739:140033 [PMID: 32534320]
  8. Spat Stat. 2022 Jun;49:100504 [PMID: 33816095]
  9. Med J Islam Repub Iran. 2020 Mar 31;34:27 [PMID: 32617266]
  10. Spat Stat. 2022 Jun;49:100508 [PMID: 33868908]

Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0Covid-19unitsrateclusteringSpatialleveladministrativedevelopmentlocalinfectionRomanianspatialLocalRomaniaanalysesrelatedfarconductedcountyregionalnationalwithoutthoroughassessmentcontinuousadministrative-territoriallikecitiestownscommunesaddressgapemploydailydataprovidedMarchMay2021UsingglobalMoranautocorrelationcoefficientsidentifysignificantprocessesAdditionalanalysisbasedspatiallysmoothedmapsregressionsprovepatterninfluencedlocalitiesproxiedunemploymentHumanDevelopmentIndexResultsshowfeatures3rdwavecharacterizedquadratictrendbehaviourconditionedlevel:CasestudycaseshumanindexMoran’sUnemployment

Similar Articles

Cited By (1)