Connectedness of energy markets around the world during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Erdinc Akyildirim, Oguzhan Cepni, Peter Molnár, Gazi Salah Uddin
Author Information
  1. Erdinc Akyildirim: Department of Management, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul, Turkey.
  2. Oguzhan Cepni: Department of Economics, Copenhagen Business School, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  3. Peter Molnár: UiS Business School, University of Stavanger, 4036 Stavanger, Norway.
  4. Gazi Salah Uddin: Department of Management and Engineering, Linköping University, SE-581 83 Linköping, Sweden.

Abstract

This paper studies the connectedness among energy equity indices of oil-exporting and oil-importing countries around the world. For each country, we construct time-varying measures of how much shocks this country transmits to other countries and how much shocks this country receives from other countries. We analyze the network of countries and find that, on average, oil-exporting countries are mainly transmitting shocks, and oil-importing countries are mainly receiving shocks. Furthermore, we use panel data regressions to evaluate whether the connectedness among countries is influenced by economic sentiment, uncertainty, and the global COVID-19 pandemic. We find that the connectedness among countries increases significantly in periods of uncertainty, low economic sentiment, and COVID-19 problems. This implies that diversification benefits across countries are severely reduced exactly during crises, that is, during the times when diversification benefits are most important.

Keywords

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