Ming Xiao, Fubo Ma, Jun Yu, Jianghang Xie, Qiaozhen Zhang, Peng Liu, Fei Yu, Yuming Jiang, Le Zhang
It is very important to compute the mutation spectra, and simulate the intra-host mutation processes by sequencing data, which is not only for the understanding of SARS-CoV-2 genetic mechanism, but also for epidemic prediction, vaccine, and drug design. However, the current intra-host mutation analysis algorithms are not only inaccurate, but also the simulation methods are unable to quickly and precisely predict new SARS-CoV-2 variants generated from the accumulation of mutations. Therefore, this study proposes a novel accurate strand-specific SARS-CoV-2 intra-host mutation spectra computation method, develops an efficient and fast SARS-CoV-2 intra-host mutation simulation method based on mutation spectra, and establishes an online analysis and visualization platform. Our main results include: (1) There is a significant variability in the SARS-CoV-2 intra-host mutation spectra across different lineages, with the major mutations from G- > A, G- > C, G- > U on the positive-sense strand and C- > U, C- > G, C- > A on the negative-sense strand; (2) our mutation simulation reveals the simulation sequence starts to deviate from the base content percentage of Alpha-CoV/Delta-CoV after approximately 620 mutation steps; (3) 2019-NCSS provides an easy-to-use and visualized online platform for SARS-Cov-2 online analysis and mutation simulation.