Long-term survival after intensive care for COVID-19: a nationwide cohort study of more than 8000 patients.

Elsa Hägglöf, Max Bell, Erik Zettersten, Lars Engerström, Emma Larsson
Author Information
  1. Elsa Hägglöf: Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden. elsa.hagglof@ki.se. ORCID
  2. Max Bell: Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  3. Erik Zettersten: Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  4. Lars Engerström: Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care in Norrköping and Department of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
  5. Emma Larsson: Department of Physiology and Pharmacology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Was it worth it-what is the outcome after the extended ICU (intensive care unit) length of stay for COVID-19 patients? Surprisingly, data on long-term mortality in large cohorts are lacking. We investigate long-term mortality including differences between men and women, as previous studies show that men generally suffer a more severe course of COVID-19 in terms of severity of illness and short-term mortality.
METHODS: Nationwide cohort including all adult COVID-19 patients admitted to Swedish ICUs until August 12, 2022. Primary outcome was 360-day mortality after ICU admission. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations between demographics, comorbidities, clinical characteristics and mortality.
RESULTS: In total, 8392 patients were included. Median (IQR) age was 63 (52-72) years and the majority (70.1%) were men. Among the 7390 patients with complete 360-day mortality data, 1775 (24.4%) patients died within 30 days, 2125 (28.8%) within 90 days and 2206 (29.8%) within 360 days from ICU admission. 360-day mortality was 27.1% in women and 31.0% in men. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed increased risk of 360-day mortality in men compared to women (OR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.17-1.52). Other variables associated with poor 360-day mortality were age, cardiac disease, COPD/asthma, diabetes, immune deficiency, chronic kidney disease, neuromuscular disease, and malignancy.
CONCLUSION: This study confirms the increased severity of disease in critically ill men with COVID-19, even in a long-term perspective. However, mortality beyond 90 days was strikingly low, indicating high probability of survival after the acute phase of illness.

Keywords

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Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0mortalitymenCOVID-19patients360-daydiseaseoutcomeICUcarelong-termwomenwithinintensivedataincludingseverityillnesscohortadmissionregressionage1%8%90 daysincreased1studysurvivalLong-termBACKGROUND:worthit-whatextendedunitlengthstaypatients?Surprisinglylargecohortslackinginvestigatedifferencespreviousstudiesshowgenerallysufferseverecoursetermsshort-termMETHODS:NationwideadultadmittedSwedishICUsAugust122022PrimaryLogisticusedestimateassociationsdemographicscomorbiditiesclinicalcharacteristicsRESULTS:total8392includedMedianIQR6352-72yearsmajority70Among7390complete1775244%died30 days212528220629360 days27310%MultivariablelogisticanalysisshowedriskcomparedOR:3395%CI:17-152variablesassociatedpoorcardiacCOPD/asthmadiabetesimmunedeficiencychronickidneyneuromuscularmalignancyCONCLUSION:confirmscriticallyillevenperspectiveHoweverbeyondstrikinglylowindicatinghighprobabilityacutephaseCOVID-19:nationwide8000GenderIntensive

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