Transformative Experiences, Cognitive Modelling and Affective Forecasting.

Marvin Mathony, Michael Messerli
Author Information
  1. Marvin Mathony: Humboldt-Universit��t zu Berlin, Berlin School of Mind and Brain, Berlin, Germany. ORCID
  2. Michael Messerli: Institute of Philosophy, Zollikerstrasse 117, 8008 Z��rich, Switzerland. ORCID

Abstract

In the last seven years, philosophers have discussed the topic of transformative experiences. In this paper, we contribute to a crucial issue that is currently under-researched: transformative experiences' influence on cognitive modelling. We argue that cognitive modelling can be operationalized as affective forecasting, and we compare transformative and non-transformative experiences with respect to the ability of affective forecasting. Our finding is that decision-makers' performance in cognitively modelling transformative experiences does not systematically differ from decision-makers' performance in cognitively modelling non-transformative experiences. This claim stands in strict opposition to L.A. Paul's main argument.

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