Spatiotemporal Analysis of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Incidence and Survival Outcomes in Korea (2009-2021).

Naae Lee, Seungpil Jung, Young Sun Ro, Jeong Ho Park, Seung-Sik Hwang
Author Information
  1. Naae Lee: Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea. ORCID
  2. Seungpil Jung: Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea. ORCID
  3. Young Sun Ro: Laboratory of Emergency Medical Services, Seoul National University Hospital Biomedical Research Institute, Seoul, Korea. ORCID
  4. Jeong Ho Park: Laboratory of Emergency Medical Services, Seoul National University Hospital Biomedical Research Institute, Seoul, Korea. ORCID
  5. Seung-Sik Hwang: Department of Public Health Sciences, Graduate School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea. ORCID

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest is a major public health concern in Korea. Identifying spatiotemporal patterns of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence and survival outcomes is crucial for effective resource allocation and targeted interventions. Thus, this study aimed to investigate the spatiotemporal epidemiology of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Korea, with a focus on identifying high-risk areas and populations and examining factors associated with prehospital outcomes.
METHODS: We conducted this population-based observational study using data from the Korean out-of-hospital cardiac arrest registry from January 2009 to December 2021. Using a Bayesian spatiotemporal model based on the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation, we calculated the standardized incidence ratio and assessed the relative risk to compare the spatial and temporal distributions over time. The primary outcome was out-of-hospital cardiac arrest incidence, and the secondary outcomes included prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, survival to hospital admission and discharge, and good neurological outcomes.
RESULTS: Although the number of cases increased over time, the spatiotemporal analysis exhibited a discernible temporal pattern in the standardized incidence ratio of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with a gradual decline over time (1.07; 95% credible interval [CrI], 1.04-1.09 in 2009 vs. 1.00; 95% CrI, 0.98-1.03 in 2021). The district-specific risk ratios of survival outcomes were more favorable in the metropolitan and major metropolitan areas. In particular, the neurological outcomes were significantly improved from relative risk 0.35 (0.31-0.39) in 2009 to 1.75 (1.65-1.86) in 2021.
CONCLUSION: This study emphasized the significance of small-area analyses in identifying high-risk regions and populations using spatiotemporal analyses. These findings have implications for public health planning efforts to alleviate the burden of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Korea.

Keywords

References

  1. Resuscitation. 2018 Oct;131:101-107 [PMID: 30099121]
  2. Resuscitation. 2013 May;84(5):547-57 [PMID: 23313428]
  3. Crit Care. 2023 Mar 6;27(1):87 [PMID: 36879338]
  4. Resuscitation. 2021 Aug;165:110-118 [PMID: 34119555]
  5. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2021 Aug;38:100433 [PMID: 34353525]
  6. Resusc Plus. 2021 Sep 21;8:100166 [PMID: 34604821]
  7. Korean Circ J. 2021 Oct;51(10):866-874 [PMID: 34595855]
  8. MMWR Surveill Summ. 2011 Jul 29;60(8):1-19 [PMID: 21796098]
  9. Resuscitation. 2013 Jun;84(6):752-9 [PMID: 23318916]
  10. Korean Circ J. 2019 Oct;49(10):945-956 [PMID: 31165598]
  11. J Clin Med. 2021 Nov 27;10(23): [PMID: 34884289]
  12. J Korean Med Sci. 2015 Oct;30(10):1396-404 [PMID: 26425035]
  13. Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes. 2010 Jan;3(1):63-81 [PMID: 20123673]
  14. J Am Heart Assoc. 2020 Nov 3;9(21):e015981 [PMID: 33094661]
  15. Sci Rep. 2022 Mar 3;12(1):3509 [PMID: 35241706]
  16. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jan 12;19(2): [PMID: 35055645]
  17. Resuscitation. 2010 Nov;81(11):1479-87 [PMID: 20828914]
  18. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Jul 29;17(15): [PMID: 32751367]
  19. Resuscitation. 2022 Apr;173:47-55 [PMID: 35151775]
  20. Circulation. 2012 Jan 31;125(4):648-55 [PMID: 22230482]
  21. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2017 Apr 12;17(1):55 [PMID: 28403811]
  22. Am J Emerg Med. 2021 Mar;41:174-178 [PMID: 32029343]
  23. J Reg Sci. 2021 Sep;61(4):849-881 [PMID: 34230688]
  24. Lancet. 2018 Mar 10;391(10124):970-979 [PMID: 29536861]
  25. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2013 Mar;4:33-49 [PMID: 23481252]
  26. Resuscitation. 2022 Apr;173:39-46 [PMID: 35151774]
  27. Circulation. 2022 Mar 29;145(13):e776-e801 [PMID: 35164535]
  28. PLoS One. 2015 Dec 14;10(12):e0144882 [PMID: 26659851]
  29. Lancet. 2018 Mar 10;391(10124):911 [PMID: 29536841]
  30. J Korean Med Sci. 2023 Mar 27;38(12):e92 [PMID: 36974401]
  31. Acad Emerg Med. 2012 Feb;19(2):139-46 [PMID: 22320364]
  32. Environ Health Perspect. 2004 Jun;112(9):1016-25 [PMID: 15198922]
  33. Resuscitation. 2014 Dec;85(12):1667-73 [PMID: 25263511]
  34. Malays J Med Sci. 2000 Jan;7(1):10-5 [PMID: 22844209]
  35. Resuscitation. 2022 Jun;175:120-132 [PMID: 35367317]
  36. Biom J. 2020 Jul;62(4):1105-1119 [PMID: 32011763]
  37. PLoS One. 2020 Aug 31;15(8):e0238067 [PMID: 32866165]
  38. Resuscitation. 2022 Mar;172:139-145 [PMID: 34971721]

Grants

  1. /National Fire Agency of Korea
  2. 11-1790387-000878-01/Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency

MeSH Term

Humans
Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation
Emergency Medical Services
Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Incidence
Bayes Theorem
Spatio-Temporal Analysis
Republic of Korea
Survival Analysis

Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0cardiacarrestout-of-hospitaloutcomesspatiotemporal1Koreaincidencesurvivalstudy20092021risktime0majorpublichealthidentifyinghigh-riskareaspopulationsprehospitalusingBayesianstandardizedratiorelativetemporalneurological95%metropolitananalysesSpatiotemporalAnalysisOut-of-HospitalCardiacArrestIncidenceSurvivalBACKGROUND:Out-of-hospitalconcernIdentifyingpatternscrucialeffectiveresourceallocationtargetedinterventionsThusaimedinvestigateepidemiologyfocusexaminingfactorsassociatedMETHODS:conductedpopulation-basedobservationaldataKoreanregistryJanuaryDecemberUsingmodelbasedIntegratedNestedLaplaceApproximationcalculatedassessedcomparespatialdistributionsprimaryoutcomesecondaryincludedreturnspontaneouscirculationhospitaladmissiondischargegoodRESULTS:Althoughnumbercasesincreasedanalysisexhibiteddiscerniblepatterngradualdecline07credibleinterval[CrI]04-109vs00CrI98-103district-specificratiosfavorableparticularsignificantlyimproved3531-0397565-186CONCLUSION:emphasizedsignificancesmall-arearegionsfindingsimplicationsplanningeffortsalleviateburdenOutcomes2009-2021

Similar Articles

Cited By