Comparative investment analysis between crypto and conventional financial assets amid heightened geopolitical risk.

Mirzat Ullah, Kazi Sohag, Hossam Haddad
Author Information
  1. Mirzat Ullah: Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, 620002, Russia.
  2. Kazi Sohag: Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, 620002, Russia.
  3. Hossam Haddad: Business Faculty, Zarqa University, Zarqa, 11831, Jordan.

Abstract

This empirical research study aims to investigate the asymmetric spillovers among crypto and key financial assets such as gold, equity, bonds, and the dollar-to-ruble exchange rate volatility, focusing on new developments during the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022. Utilizing time- and frequency-domain methodologies, this study conducts an in-depth analysis employing daily frequency data from January 01, 2018, to May 30, 2023. The study employs value at risk and conditional value at risk estimations to assess potential losses in the portfolio during the crisis. The findings reveal that Bitcoin exhibits hedging ability, enabling investors to diversify risk among the underlying financial assets. The study observes a significant increase in Bitcoin investments during the crisis, leading to heightened volatility and uncertainty. Negative news has a stronger impact compared to positive news, underscoring the importance of prudent asset allocation for risk mitigation. The implications of our findings are particularly significant for financial policymakers and trade partners of Russia. The study urges them to differentiate their short- and long-term strategies and procurement contracts. In the long run, policymakers should be cognizant of the influence of the riskiness of crypto assets during economic crises, guiding the formulation of prudent policies and investment decision-making initiatives.

Keywords

References

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