Evaluating the responsiveness of Caribbean stock markets - The case of COVID-19.

Richard Ramsawak, Trinh Nguyen Chau
Author Information
  1. Richard Ramsawak: The Business School, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) - Vietnam, HCMC, Viet Nam.
  2. Trinh Nguyen Chau: The Business School, Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology (RMIT) - Vietnam, HCMC, Viet Nam.

Abstract

The Caribbean stock markets have been largely ignored by scholars, partly due to the conventional view of a weak and inefficient system, and low integration to the world financial system. This paper examines the major announcements related to COVID-19 as exogenous shocks and their impacts on stock market returns in the two most developed stock markets in the Caribbean region. Using the standard event methodology and a dynamic difference in differences model, we confirm a significant decline in stock returns in response to negative announcements of COVID-19-related news. Other positive news such as the announcements of re-opening of the economy and vaccine had a positive impact on stock returns. The Jamaica stock markets are likely to be weakly efficient and exhibit low responsiveness to major COVID-19-related events and news. Most sectors in the Caribbean economy experienced significant losses to stock returns resulting from these shocks. The banking, conglomerates, and property sectors continued to be subdued in the face of continued uncertainty and unpredictability of the overall impact of COVID-19. The energy and communication sectors seemed to be either the most resilient or most asymmetrically informed sectors as they are found not to be affected by COVID-19-related announcements. The manufacturing, property, and non-banking sectors are found to recover quickly from the shocks. Our analysis provides further insight in terms of portfolio investment strategies in the Caribbean region.

Keywords

References

  1. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2023 May;87:102608 [PMID: 36910026]
  2. J Behav Exp Finance. 2020 Sep;27:100326 [PMID: 32292707]
  3. Res Int Bus Finance. 2020 Dec;54:101249 [PMID: 34170989]
  4. Financ Res Lett. 2020 Oct;36:101528 [PMID: 32837360]
  5. Heliyon. 2023 Sep 09;9(10):e19843 [PMID: 37780774]
  6. PLoS One. 2024 Jan 11;19(1):e0296673 [PMID: 38206978]
  7. Res Int Bus Finance. 2022 Apr;60:101613 [PMID: 35035020]
  8. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2021 Mar;74:101671 [PMID: 36567808]
  9. Aust Econ Pap. 2021 Sep;60(3):482-495 [PMID: 33349733]
  10. Financ Res Lett. 2020 Oct;36:101735 [PMID: 32868975]
  11. Res Int Bus Finance. 2023 Apr;65:101938 [PMID: 37021288]
  12. Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101732 [PMID: 32843886]
  13. Res Int Bus Finance. 2023 Apr;65:101932 [PMID: 36987439]
  14. Res Int Bus Finance. 2021 Dec;58:101445 [PMID: 34518715]
  15. Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101604 [PMID: 32837363]
  16. Financ Res Lett. 2022 Jun;47:102774 [PMID: 35283695]
  17. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2021 Jul;76:101656 [PMID: 36569818]
  18. Nat Hum Behav. 2021 Apr;5(4):529-538 [PMID: 33686204]
  19. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2022 Jul;82:102186 [PMID: 36532086]
  20. Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect. 2023 Jan;17:100741 [PMID: 36618962]
  21. Financ Res Lett. 2022 Mar;45:102245 [PMID: 34177390]
  22. Res Int Bus Finance. 2021 Oct;57:101424 [PMID: 36540612]
  23. Res Int Bus Finance. 2023 Jan;64:101876 [PMID: 36644680]
  24. J Public Econ. 2021 Jan;193:104346 [PMID: 33281237]
  25. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2022 Mar;80:102005 [PMID: 36536788]
  26. J Air Transp Manag. 2020 Oct;89:101920 [PMID: 32874021]
  27. Financ Res Lett. 2022 May;46:102350 [PMID: 35431683]
  28. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2021 Mar;74:101702 [PMID: 38620728]
  29. Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101745 [PMID: 32895606]
  30. J Bus Res. 2021 May;128:31-44 [PMID: 36540352]
  31. Financ Res Lett. 2020 Oct;36:101691 [PMID: 32837378]
  32. Res Int Bus Finance. 2023 Jan;64:101882 [PMID: 36691402]
  33. Fisc Stud. 2020 Jun;41(2):363-369 [PMID: 32836537]
  34. Int Rev Financ Anal. 2022 Oct;83:102220 [PMID: 36536651]
  35. J Econ Surv. 2021 Sep;35(4):1007-1044 [PMID: 34230772]

Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0stockCaribbeanreturnssectorsmarketsannouncementsCOVID-19shocksCOVID-19-relatednewssystemlowmajorregionsignificantpositiveeconomyimpactresponsivenesspropertycontinuedfoundlargelyignoredscholarspartlydueconventionalviewweakinefficientintegrationworldfinancialpaperexaminesrelatedexogenousimpactsmarkettwodevelopedUsingstandardeventmethodologydynamicdifferencedifferencesmodelconfirmdeclineresponsenegativere-openingvaccineJamaicalikelyweaklyefficientexhibiteventsexperiencedlossesresultingbankingconglomeratessubduedfaceuncertaintyunpredictabilityoverallenergycommunicationseemedeitherresilientasymmetricallyinformedaffectedmanufacturingnon-bankingrecoverquicklyanalysisprovidesinsighttermsportfolioinvestmentstrategiesEvaluating-caseEfficiencyShockStock

Similar Articles

Cited By

No available data.