This article develops mathematical theory for the population dynamics of microbiomes with their hosts and theory for microbiome evolution caused by holobiont selection.
A holobiont is the union of a host with its microbiome. Holobiont selection is natural selection on the combined host and microbiome as a unit. The hologenome is the union of genes in the microbiome with genes in the host nucleus. The deep integration within many holobionts of microbiomes with their hosts extends to development, metabolism, physiology and behavior. The kind of eco-evolutionary processes producing this integration is unclear.
For a microbe to join a hosts microbiome, its population-dynamic parameters must sufficiently align with the hosts population-dynamic parameters. Accordingly, a microbe might be excluded from the microbiome, might enter the microbiome in a way leading to its subsequent gradual shedding from the holobiont, might join the microbiome and coexist with the host, or might, for a deleterious microbe, enter the microbiome culminating in the extinction of both it and the host.
A horizontally transmitted microbiome constitutes a genetic system that features "collective inheritance" capable of underwriting Darwinian descent with modification. The microbial source pool in the environment is the counterpart for the microbiome of the gamete pool for the nuclear genome. Poisson sampling of the microbial source pool is the counterpart of binomial sampling of the gamete pool. However, holobiont selection on the microbiome does not lead to a counterpart of the Hardy-Weinberg Law, a concept of selective neutrality, or directional selection that produces fixation of the microbial gene with the highest fitness. The effectiveness of holobiont selection on microbial genes is limited compared to the effectiveness of natural selection on nuclear genes. Nonetheless, holobiont selection can affect the composition of the microbiome by permitting the coexistence of a competitively inferior microbial strain with a superior strain in a colonization-extinction equilibrium and by permitting a polymorphism between altruistic and selfish microbial strains.
An altruistic microbe might strike an optimal balance between lowering within-host fitness to increase holobiont fitness. However, altruistic microbes are replaced by otherwise identical microbes that contribute nothing to holobiont fitness. This replacement can be reversed by hosts that discriminate against colonization by selfish microbes--likely brought about by hosts making antibodies against selfish microbes. This discrimination leads to a process of microbial species sorting orchestrated by the host immune system. Holobiont assembly with host-orchestrated species sorting (HOSS) followed by microbial competition, rather than coevolution or multi-level selection, is the likely cause of host-microbiome integration.
