Günter Blöschl, Ladislav Gaál, Julia Hall, Andrea Kiss, Jürgen Komma, Thomas Nester, Juraj Parajka, Rui A P Perdigão, Lenka Plavcová, Magdalena Rogger, José Luis Salinas, Alberto Viglione
Author Information
Günter Blöschl: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Ladislav Gaál: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Julia Hall: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Andrea Kiss: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Jürgen Komma: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Thomas Nester: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Juraj Parajka: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Rui A P Perdigão: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Lenka Plavcová: Institute for Systematic Botany and Ecology Ulm University Ulm Germany.
Magdalena Rogger: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
José Luis Salinas: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
Alberto Viglione: Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management Vienna University of Technology Vienna Austria.
There has been a surprisingly large number of major floods in the last years around the world, which suggests that floods may have increased and will continue to increase in the next decades. However, the realism of such changes is still hotly discussed in the literature. This overview article examines whether floods have changed in the past and explores the driving processes of such changes in the atmosphere, the catchments and the river system based on examples from Europe. Methods are reviewed for assessing whether floods may increase in the future. Accounting for feedbacks within the human-water system is important when assessing flood changes over lead times of decades or centuries. It is argued that an integrated flood risk management approach is needed for dealing with future flood risk with a focus on reducing the vulnerability of the societal system. 2015, 2:329-344. doi: 10.1002/wat2.1079 For further resources related to this article, please visit the WIREs website.
References
J Hydrol (Amst). 2010 Nov 17;394(1-2):78-89
[PMID: 25067854]
