Volatile hiring: uncertainty in search and matching models.

Wouter J Den Haan, Lukas B Freund, Pontus Rendahl
Author Information
  1. Wouter J Den Haan: London School of Economics and Political and Political Science, CEPR and CFM, Department of Economics, Houghton Street, London WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom.
  2. Lukas B Freund: University of Cambridge, Faculty of Economics, Sidgwick Avenue, Cambridge CB3 9DD, United Kingdom.
  3. Pontus Rendahl: Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics, CEPR and CFM Porcelaenshaven 16A, 2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark.

Abstract

In search-and-matching models, the nonlinear nature of search frictions increases average unemployment rates during periods with higher volatility. These frictions are not, however, by themselves sufficient to raise unemployment following an increase in uncertainty; though they may do so in conjunction with the common assumption of wages being determined by Nash bargaining. Importantly, option-value considerations play no role in the standard model with free entry. In contrast, when the mass of entrepreneurs is finite and there is heterogeneity in firm-specific productivity, a rise in perceived uncertainty robustly increases the option value of waiting and reduces job creation.

Keywords

References

  1. Rev Econ Dyn. 2020 Aug;37:S118-S146 [PMID: 32834716]

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