Assessment of associated credit risk in the supply chain based on trade credit risk contagion.

Xiaofeng Xie, Fengying Zhang, Li Liu, Yang Yang, Xiuying Hu
Author Information
  1. Xiaofeng Xie: Innovation Center of Nursing Research, Nursing Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
  2. Fengying Zhang: West China School of Nursing, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
  3. Li Liu: Innovation Center of Nursing Research, Nursing Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
  4. Yang Yang: School of Economics Mathematics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Sichuan, China. ORCID
  5. Xiuying Hu: Innovation Center of Nursing Research, Nursing Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, West China Hospital, West China School of Nursing, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China. ORCID

Abstract

Assessment of associated credit risk in the supply chain is a challenge in current credit risk management practices. This paper proposes a new approach for assessing associated credit risk in the supply chain based on graph theory and fuzzy preference theory. First, we classified the credit risk of firms in the supply chain into two types, namely firms' "own credit risk" and "credit risk contagion"; second, we designed a system of indicators for assessing the credit risks of firms in the supply chain and used fuzzy preference relations to obtain the fuzzy comparison judgment matrix of credit risk assessment indicators, on which basis we constructed the basic model for assessing the own credit risk of firms in the supply chain; third, we established a derivative model for assessing credit risk contagion. On this basis, we carried out a comprehensive assessment of the credit risk of firms in the supply chain by combining the two assessment results, revealing the contagion effect of associated credit risk in the supply chain based on trade credit risk contagion (TCRC). The case study shows that the credit risk assessment method proposed in this paper enables banks to accurately identify the credit risk status of firms in the supply chain, which helps curb the accumulation and outbreak of systemic financial risks.

References

  1. PLoS One. 2021 Apr 29;16(4):e0250115 [PMID: 33914764]
  2. PLoS One. 2022 Apr 7;17(4):e0266674 [PMID: 35390096]

MeSH Term

Humans
Commerce
Risk Assessment
Confusion

Word Cloud

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