Quantile connectedness between the climate policy and economic uncertainty: Evidence from the G7 countries.

Khaled Mokni, Leila Hedhili Zaier, Manel Youssef, Sami Ben Jabeur
Author Information
  1. Khaled Mokni: Higher Institute of Transport and Logistics of Sousse, University of Sousse, Tunisia; LaREMFIQ Laboratory, University of Sousse, Tunisia. Electronic address: kmokni@gmail.com.
  2. Leila Hedhili Zaier: Department of Economics and quantitative methods, Higher Institute of Management of Tunis, University of Tunis, Tunisia. Electronic address: leila.hedhili@isg.u-tunis.tn.
  3. Manel Youssef: Centre des Etudes et Recherches Economiques et Sociales (CERES), Ecovis KDH Partners, 71 AV. Alain Savary, Tunis, 1003, Tunisia. Electronic address: Youssef_Manel23@yahoo.fr.
  4. Sami Ben Jabeur: UCLy (Lyon Catholic University), ESDES, Lyon, France; UCLy (Lyon Catholic University), UR CONFLUENCE: Sciences et Humanités (EA1598), Lyon, France. Electronic address: sbenjabeur@gmail.com.

Abstract

In this study, we investigate the transmission mechanism between climate policy uncertainty (CPU) and economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the G7 countries. To account for different conditions, we use a quantile-based VAR (Q-VAR) model over the period between 2000 and 2021. Our results show high connectedness between the CPU and the EPU of G7 countries, particularly at extreme quantile orders. On the other hand, the spillover effects between climate and economic policy uncertainty differ depending on the distributional levels of the uncertainty indices. The CPU is a net receiver of uncertainty shocks, while for almost all countries, the EPU acts as a net receiver or emitter, depending on the economic situation. During times of high or low economic uncertainty, the EPU of all G7 countries is strongly affected by shocks originating from the CPU. Moreover, the results indicate that the dynamic spillover patterns between EPU and CPU vary over time, responding to different economic events and financial crises. These results call for policymakers and governments to urgently integrate climate considerations into economic planning, fiscal policies, and regulatory frameworks to promote sustainable economic growth and mitigate the impacts of climate change.

Keywords

MeSH Term

Uncertainty
Policy
Economic Development
Climate Change
Government

Word Cloud

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