Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the prescribing pattern of oral anticoagulants in the English primary care setting: a population-based segmented interrupted time series analysis of over 53 million individuals.

Amanj Kurdi, Abdulaziz Albutti, Omeed Darweesh, Karwan M Amen, Kirmanj Baker, Hardee Karwi, Brian Godman
Author Information
  1. Amanj Kurdi: College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Kurdistan Region, Iraq.
  2. Abdulaziz Albutti: College of Pharmacy, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Kurdistan Region, Iraq.
  3. Omeed Darweesh: College of Pharmacy, Al-Kitab University, Kirkuk, Iraq.
  4. Karwan M Amen: Department of Nursing, College of Nursing, Hawler Medical University, Erbil, Iraq.
  5. Kirmanj Baker: Department of Surgery, College of Medicine, University of Kirkuk, Kirkuk, Iraq.
  6. Hardee Karwi: Department of Clinical Pharmacy, Azadi Teaching Hospital, Kirkuk Health Directorate, Ministry of Health, Kirkuk, Iraq.
  7. Brian Godman: Strathclyde Institute of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, Strathclyde University, Glasgow, UK. ORCID

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted healthcare delivery, impacting oral anticoagulants (OAC) prescribing due to increased thromboembolic risks, Vaccine-induced immune thrombotic thrombocytopenia, and guidelines favoring Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs) over warfarin. Previous studies were limited to short-term analyses.
RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A segmented interrupted time series analysis was conducted using the English primary care Prescription Cost Analysis data from March/2018-March/2024 to assess the impact of the first and second COVID-19 lockdowns in March and November 2020, respectively. Trends in OAC utilisation were measured using number of items per 1,000 inhabitants (NIT) and defined daily dose per 1,000 inhabitants per day (DTD).
RESULTS: Overall, oral anticoagulants prescribing increased significantly. Pre-pandemic, both NIT (β: 0.09; 95%CI: 0.02, 0.16) and DTD (β:0.13; 95%CI: 0.09, 0.16) showed positive trends. Post-first lockdown, DTD slope declined significantly (β:-0.22; 95%CI: -0.42, -0.03). Post-second lockdown, DTD rose in both immediate level (β:1.39; 95%CI: 0.34, 2.45) and slope (β: 0.20; 95%CI: 0.0015, 0.39). Warfarin usage declined initially but rebounded, while DOACs, particularly apixaban, increased substantially (β:0.96; 95%CI: 0.11, 1.81).
CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted oral anticoagulant prescribing patterns in England. While DOAC utilisation continued to rise, warfarin use declined significantly post-first lockdown but rebounded after the second lockdown.

Keywords

MeSH Term

Humans
COVID-19
Primary Health Care
Anticoagulants
Interrupted Time Series Analysis
Practice Patterns, Physicians'
Administration, Oral
England

Chemicals

Anticoagulants

Word Cloud

Created with Highcharts 10.0.0095%CI:COVID-19prescribingoralDTDsignificantlylockdownpandemicanticoagulantsincreasedDOACsprimarycareper1declinedOACAnticoagulantswarfarinsegmentedinterruptedtimeseriesanalysisusingEnglishsecondutilisation000inhabitantsNITβ:0916β:0slope-039WarfarinreboundedpatternsBACKGROUND:disruptedhealthcaredeliveryimpactingduethromboembolicrisksVaccine-inducedimmunethromboticthrombocytopeniaguidelinesfavoringDirectOralPreviousstudieslimitedshort-termanalysesRESEARCHDESIGNANDMETHODS:conductedPrescriptionCostAnalysisdataMarch/2018-March/2024assessimpactfirstlockdownsMarchNovember2020respectivelyTrendsmeasurednumberitemsdefineddailydosedayRESULTS:OverallPre-pandemic0213showedpositivetrendsPost-firstβ:-0224203Post-secondroseimmediatelevelβ:134245200015usageinitiallyparticularlyapixabansubstantially961181CONCLUSIONS:impactedanticoagulantEnglandDOACcontinuedriseusepost-firstImpactpatternsetting:population-based53millionindividuals

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